Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

OpenOutcomes13as of

Market pricing makes Josh Shapiro (D) the favorite at 98% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Josh Shapiro (D)ms.now97%match97¢+1%
Josh Shapiro is hoping his Pennsylvania gubernatorial re-election campaign has House coattails
Former President Barack Obama is throwing his support behind Pennsylvania Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's reelection campaign, releasing a video endorsement Friday as the former president steps up his involvement in key Senate and gubernatorial races in the final stretch before the midterm elections. • "Pennsylvania, Governor Shapiro has your back — and in this election, I'm asking you to have his," Obama says in the video, first on @CBSNews
Josh Shapiro (D)cbsnews.com94%match97¢+1%
Obama throws support behind Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's reelection bid
Stacy Garrity (R)Trump95%match3¢-33%
Stacy Garrity has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Governor of Pennsylvania — SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Stacy Garrity has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Governor of Pennsylvania — SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
NEW: Pennsylvania @GovernorShapiro leads potential Republican challenger @GarrityForPA 53%-40% in a new Quinnipiac poll. Voters continue to prefer Democratic control of the U.S. House, 49% to 43% for Republicans.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.