Minnesota Senate Election WinnerPeggy Flanagan (D)
Open$125Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 88% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES88¢
NO13¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Flanagan leads Tafoya by 4 points in new Minnesota Senate poll Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D) leads her GOP opponent, former NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya, in a new poll in the state’s U.S. Senate race. The Minnesota Star Tribune/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll reported 47 percent of voters supported Flanagan, while 43 percent backed Tafoya, 9 percent were undecided and less than 1 percent picked…
Where does the news lean?
5YES1NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 51% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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