What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?↓ 30
Open$568as of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Bitcoin stuck in a six-week range as global bond yields hit highest levels for decades. • BTC volatility has dropped to multi-year lows as surging Treasury yields rattle equities and traders await the Fed's July meeting minutes for clues on the interest-rate path.
Bitcoin volatility is in meltdown, but downside protection still commands a premium. • Bitcoin’s BVIV volatility index hit the lowest level since 2025 as option demand collapsed. Still, overwriting surged and downside protection stayed pricey.
Where does the news lean?
5YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index between January 26, 2026, 11:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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