What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

OpenOutcomes5as of

Market pricing makes ↓ 30 the favorite at 12% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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↑ 70100%
↑ 60100%
↑ 50100%

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

↓ 30kucoin.com95%match13¢-8%
Why Bitcoin Volatility Is Historically Low in 2026: Glassnode Points to Long-Term Holders. • Introduction Bitcoin is often described as a high-volatility asset, yet that reputation is not matching the tape in September 20
↓ 30coindesk.com92%match14¢-14%
Bitcoin stuck in a six-week range as global bond yields hit highest levels for decades. • BTC volatility has dropped to multi-year lows as surging Treasury yields rattle equities and traders await the Fed's July meeting minutes for clues on the interest-rate path.
↓ 30ibtimes.com95%match14¢-14%
Bitcoin Could Be Headed For A 30% Move. The Big Question Is Which Way.. • Bitcoin volatility has fallen to historically low levels, but Fundstrat says similar periods in the past have been followed by moves of around 30% in either direction within 60 days.
↓ 30livesquawk95%match37¢-68%
The BVIV Index (30-day BTC implied volatility) just hit its YTD low.
↓ 30coindesk.com97%match35¢-66%
Bitcoin volatility is in meltdown, but downside protection still commands a premium. • Bitcoin’s BVIV volatility index hit the lowest level since 2025 as option demand collapsed. Still, overwriting surged and downside protection stayed pricey.
↓ 30techinasia.com99%match39¢-69%
CME Group to launch bitcoin volatility futures

What is this event about?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?