Bank of Russia decision in July?Decrease
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$154Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The Central Bank of the Russian Federation views the current acceleration in price growth as temporary, Nabiullina said. Other statements by the head of the Central Bank: The situation on the fuel market is gradually normalizing; The rise in fuel prices, according to current data, is beginning to spread to prices for a wide range of goods and services; Steady inflation in the second half of 2026 will remain near current levels, the Central Bank's estimate has not changed; A significant portion of pro-inflationary risks is associated with a decrease in the production capacity of some industries. Video not loading? Watch in MAX [in reply to: The Central Bank lowered the key rate to 14% from 14.25% per annum. ]
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Bank of Russia decision in July? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.