Bank of Brazil decision in September?25 bps decrease
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$86Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESMovimento veio em linha com expectativas do mercado em meios sinais de queda da inflação e desaceleração da atividade97%match99¢+1%
Central Bank cuts interest rates by 0.25 percentage points for the 5th consecutive time, and the Selic rate falls to 13.75%.
YESNews96%match99¢+1%
*BRAZIL CUTS BENCHMARK LENDING RATE 25 BASIS POINTS TO 13.75%
YESReuters98%match99¢+1%
Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Benchmark Interest Rate by 25 Bps to 13.75% (Reuters Poll 13.75%)
NOReuters93%match18¢-100%
Brazil Central Bank: This Requires Monetary Policy to Remain Tight
Where does the news lean?
6YES5NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 14-15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Bank of Brazil decision in September? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.