How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 5.10%
Open$34Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 43% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES43¢
NO57¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US 30-year Treasury yield reaches 24-year high; bond selling pressure remains despite oil price falling below $90
The yield on the 30-year US Treasury note reached its highest level since 2004, hitting 5.53%. The yield had been below 5% until early July. The 10-year Treasury note yield also reached a new multi-year high, surpassing 5.22%. #Arabic_Business
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
home.treasury.gov
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