How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?475k to 500k

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$72KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESm.thepaper.cn93%match100¢
Tesla delivered 486,500 vehicles globally in the third quarter, exceeding expectations, and its stock price rose by more than 5%.
YESlefigaro.fr94%match100¢
Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles worldwide in the third quarter, exceeding market expectations.
YESzerohedge92%match100¢
Tesla Delivers 486,432 Vehicles In Q3, Handily Beating Wall Street Forecasts
YESalarabiya_bn96%match100¢
Tesla announced deliveries of 486,532 vehicles in the third quarter, exceeding expectations. Total vehicle production in the third quarter reached 464,391 vehicles. Deliveries decreased by approximately 2% compared to 497,099 vehicles in the same period last year, but increased compared to the second quarter, in which the company recorded deliveries of 480,126 vehicles. #Arabic_Business
YESelectrek.co94%match100¢
Tesla (TSLA) Q3 2026 deliveries slip 2% to 486,532, but beat estimates
YESlivesquawk94%match100¢
$TSLA Tesla Q3 Deliveries 486,532 (est 463,761) • - Other Models Deliveries 7,004 (est 9,759) • - Model 3/Y Deliveries 478,237 (est 462,078) • - Production 464,391 Vehicles (est 473,294) • - Model 3/Y Production 457,387 (est 481,279 • - Other Models Production 7,004 (est 5,944 (2 EST.)
YEScnbc93%match100¢
Tesla reports 486,532 vehicle deliveries for third quarter, topping expectation
YESstockmktnewz91%match100¢
Tesla $TSLA delivered 486,532 cars in Q3 beating expectations of 464K
YEScnbc.com93%match99¢+1%
Tesla reports 486,532 vehicle deliveries for third quarter, topping expectation
YESmarketnews_feed94%match99¢+1%
$TSLA - *TESLA 3Q DELIVERIES 486,532, EST. 463,761 *TESLA 3Q OTHER MODELS DELIVERIES 7,004, EST. 9,759 *TESLA 3Q MODEL 3/Y PRODUCTION 457,387, EST. 481,279 *TESLA 3Q OTHER MODELS PRODUCTION 7,004, EST. 5,944 (2 EST.)
YESWalter Bloomberg94%match98¢+2%
$TSLA - *TESLA 3Q DELIVERIES 486,532, EST. 463,761 • *TESLA 3Q OTHER MODELS DELIVERIES 7,004, EST. 9,759 • • *TESLA 3Q MODEL 3/Y PRODUCTION 457,387, EST. 481,279 • *TESLA 3Q OTHER MODELS PRODUCTION 7,004, EST. 5,944 (2 EST.)
YESzerohedge95%match99¢+1%
*TESLA 3Q DELIVERIES 486,532, EST. 463,761 • *TESLA 3Q OTHER MODELS DELIVERIES 7,004, EST. 9,759 • • *TESLA 3Q MODEL 3/Y PRODUCTION 457,387, EST. 481,279 • *TESLA 3Q OTHER MODELS PRODUCTION 7,004, EST. 5,944 (2 EST.)
YESNews94%match99¢+1%
*TESLA 3Q DELIVERIES 486,532, EST. 463,761
YESNews94%match98¢+2%
*TESLA 3Q DELIVERIES 486,532, EST. 463,/61
YESReuters92%match98¢+2%
Tesla Inc: Q3 Model 3/Y Production 457,387 Units, Deliveries 478,237 Units
YESReuters95%match98¢+2%
Tesla Inc: Q3 Total Deliveries 486,532 Units, Visible Alpha Estimate 456,896 Units

Where does the news lean?

16YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

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