Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$220Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
48 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
About 1 million people were evacuated from their homes in Shanghai and Wenzhou in eastern China due to the most powerful tropical cyclone to hit the country this summer, Typhoon Dolphin, Reuters reports. As the agency notes, wind speeds at the center reached 42 m/s, which is equivalent to a Category 1 hurricane. Authorities evacuated personnel from offshore facilities, returned ships to ports, intensified inspections of reservoirs and landslide-prone areas, and canceled hundreds of flights. Earlier, Typhoon Dolphin made landfall in southern Japan, where about 175,000 people were ordered to evacuate. If the video doesn't load for you, you can watch it on Max.
Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall in China as its strongest storm this year
According to the China National Meteorological Center, Typhoon Dolphin, the 13th typhoon of this year, made landfall at 5:30 p.m. Sunday, August 8, in Yuhuan, a prefecture of Taizhou City, Zhejiang Province. The maximum wind speed near the center of the typhoon when it made landfall was 42 meters per second, equivalent to a Category 14 storm, which put Dolphin in the category of a severe typhoon. Zhejiang Province raised its emergency response level to the highest level on the evening of August 8. Coastal areas also suspended work, education, business and transportation activities. As of Sunday, more than 516 million cubic meters of water had been discharged from the province's river network and more than 900 million cubic meters of water had been released from dams. Winds with a force of more than 10 gusts swept through central and northern Fujian Province, and flooding was reported in parts of low-lying areas of Shanghai. More than 1,700 flights in the Yangtze River Delta region were canceled and traffic on parts of the Hangzhou-Shenzhen and Shanghai-Kunming railway lines was suspended.
Typhoon Dolphin with wind speeds of 42 m/s makes landfall in China... At least 500,000 evacuated
Typhoon Dolphin batters China and the Philippines after hitting southern Japan, causing deaths and injuries. #Here_is_the_Kingdom
Typhoon Dolphin, with stunning intensity in China China Central Television reported the occurrence of a fierce Typhoon Dolphin in Zhejiang; an incident that was accompanied by strong winds and created a state of emergency. @iribnews
Typhoon Dolphin approaches China’s east coast, triggering flood warnings
Severe Typhoon Dolphin hits China China Central Television reported the occurrence of severe typhoon "Dolphin" in Zhejiang province. An incident that was accompanied by strong winds and created a state of emergency. @isna94
Severe Typhoon Dolphin hits China China Central Television reported the severe typhoon "Dolphin" in Zhejiang Province. The incident was accompanied by strong winds and created a state of emergency. @YjcNewsChannel
Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall in Zhejiang; showers are expected in central and southern Zhejiang in the coming week.
China is under siege by Typhoon Dolphin! China Central Television reported the occurrence of a severe Typhoon Dolphin in Zhejiang; an incident that was accompanied by strong winds and caused a state of emergency.
@Farsna - Link
Severe Typhoon Dolphin hits China China Central Television reported the occurrence of severe typhoon "Dolphin" in Zhejiang province. An incident that was accompanied by strong winds and created a state of emergency. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Severe Typhoon Dolphin hits China China Central Television reported the severe typhoon "Dolphin" in Zhejiang province. The incident was accompanied by strong winds and created a state of emergency.
@TasnimNews
Typhoon Dolphin made landfall in Zhejiang, China, with maximum winds reaching level 14.
Typhoon Dolphin hits China’s east coast, over 1 million evacuated
Typhoon Dolphin has made landfall on the coast of Zhejiang. The State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management are continuing to hold consultations and deploy prevention and response measures.
Typhoon Dolphin strikes eastern China, forcing mass evacuations
Typhoon Dolphin made landfall in densely populated eastern China on Sunday, meteorological authorities said, after the storm triggered more than 1,000 flight cancellations, evacuations and a top-level alert. •
Live: China's densely populated east coast is preparing for the arrival of Typhoon Dolphin, particularly in Shanghai and Hangzhou...
Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall in China after flight cancellations, evacuations
Typhoon Dolphin made landfall for the second time in Yueqing, Zhejiang Province.
China's densely populated eastern coast was preparing Sunday for the arrival of Typhoon Dolphin, which has triggered more than 1,000 flight cancellations, evacuations and a top-level alert from authorities. •
Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall in eastern China
ALERT: Typhoon Dolphin makes landfall in eastern China: meteorological authorities
Typhoon Dolphin set to hit China's east coast, triggering flood warnings
Typhoon Dolphin on the way to China; more than 1,300 flights canceled Typhoon "Dolphin" is getting stronger and is approaching the east coast of China. As the storm approaches, Shanghai's Hongqiao and Pudong airports canceled more than 1,300 flights and thousands of people were evacuated from areas prone to flooding and landslides. The storm first caused heavy rains in northern Taiwan and then moved towards China's Zhejiang and Fujian provinces. Chinese authorities have warned that up to 400 mm of rain may fall in some areas in the coming days. Also, in Zhejiang, shipping services and some water activities have been suspended due to strong winds and rainfall. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Typhoon Dolphin made landfall near Yuhuan, Taizhou, Zhejiang Province, with maximum sustained winds near its center reaching level 14.
Approximately 390,000 people have been evacuated in China due to the approaching Typhoon Dolphin. The typhoon, approaching China's eastern coast at a speed of approximately 162 kilometers per hour, is expected to cause strong winds, heavy rain, floods, and landslides. Approximately 390,000 people have been evacuated in Taizhou city in Zhejiang province due to the risk of landslides. Ferry services and boat tours have been canceled in the province.
Typhoon Dolphin hits Japan’s Okinawa, China shuts ports ahead of landfall
Typhoon "Dolphin" is expected to make landfall along the coast from Zhoushan, Zhejiang to Fuding, Fujian tomorrow night.
China: Typhoon Dolphin is approaching the coast between Zhejiang province and Fujian province. It is expected to make landfall between August 9-10, 2026. Strong wind gusts (of up to 70mph) and heavy to torrential rainfall in coastal areas and inland are expected in Eastern China. Shanghai can also expect heavy rain and potential transportation disruptions. Travelers should expect significant disruptions to services and transportation in eastern and southeastern China during this time. Read the full alert for more information:
China issues orange alert for Typhoon Dolphin: winds up to 180 km/h, 162 ferry routes suspended, and 474 ships in quarantine. It could make landfall on Sunday. In Japan, it caused injuries and power outages. #China #Typhoon #Dolphin #teleSUR #Aug7
Typhoon Dolphin is approaching the coastal areas of Zhejiang and Fujian, bringing strong winds and rain to more than ten provinces.
Typhoon Dolphin is raging off the coast of Japan and heading toward Hainan. Because of this, Russian tourists are losing their travel packages or being forced to cut their vacations short. The storm has reached southern Japan, including Okinawa. Winds in the typhoon's vicinity are reaching approximately 144 km/h, with gusts reaching nearly 200 km/h. Authorities in several prefectures have ordered the evacuation of 260,000 people. The airport in Naha has been closed. Despite the typhoon's epicenter being located off the Japanese coast, the situation is already worsening on Hainan, China, where restrictions have been imposed on international cruises passing through the South China Sea. One tourist told Baza that she was on the MSC Bellissima cruise ship and was supposed to disembark in Korea, but due to a typhoon, the ship's captain decided to disembark all vacationers in Shanghai four days before the end of the voyage. The ship's route followed the trajectory of the typhoon, with waves up to 11 meters high expected in the area. According to forecasters, Typhoon Dolphin will reach the east coast of China on the night of August 9-10, hitting the coast of Zhejiang or Fujian provinces and bringing torrential rains to the region. The typhoon could also hit Shanghai, where strong winds and localized flooding could hit the city. BAZA in MAX
Typhoon Dolphin is approaching the coast of East China, bringing strong typhoon rains to many areas.
Typhoon Yellow Alert Issued: Typhoon Dolphin May Make Landfall Along the Coastal Areas from Zhejiang to Northern Fujian
Experts analyze Typhoon Dolphin: Approaching East China with great force, it may become a rare, powerful typhoon making landfall in my country.
Typhoon Dolphin approaches the East China coast; multiple departments hold consultations to deploy flood and typhoon prevention measures.
Typhoon Dolphin is expected to make landfall in China along the coast of Zhejiang and Fujian provinces on September 9-10.
Typhoon warning upgraded! Typhoon Dolphin gradually approaches the coast of East China.
Typhoon Dolphin will affect Shanghai starting from the 7th, with significant wind and rain expected from the 8th to the 11th.
Typhoon Dolphin is gradually approaching the East China coast! Latest updates from various regions →
Typhoon Dolphin is expected to make landfall along the coast of East China, bringing strong typhoon rains to Zhejiang, Fujian, and other areas.
Waves may reach 10 meters! Typhoon "White Dolphin" approaches the coast of East China; Zhejiang and Fujian provinces are on high alert.
Typhoon Dolphin has a high probability of making landfall in China; Shanghai Maritime Safety Administration is the first to issue a warning.
China Climate Center: Typhoon Dolphin may make landfall on the Zhejiang coast on the 9th.
Typhoon Dolphin is approaching; mainland China assesses two main possible paths.
[Typhoon Information] Large and very strong Typhoon No. 13 (Dolphin) to directly hit Okinawa and Amami later this week; maximum instantaneous wind speed of 65 m/s; on a westward path towards mainland China - Japan Meteorological Agency
Where does the news lean?
68YES6NO29neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market resolves "Yes" if the center of Super Typhoon Dolphin's circulation physically crosses the coastline of China on or before August 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) position advisories placing the storm over Chinese land (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en), or by credible international news reporting confirming the storm hitting Chinese territory. For the purposes of this market, "China" refers to all territory under the administration of the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions (Hong Kong / Macau) and excluding Taiwan.
The system's classification is determined by the single JMA advisory in effect immediately prior to the observed crossing. Once that advisory fixes classification at the time of impact, no subsequent real-time advisory, reclassification, or post-season best-track reanalysis may retroactively change the outcome.
JMA position advisories are the primary resolution source. If a JMA advisory plots the center on Chinese land, the market resolves "Yes" regardless of what other sources say. If no JMA advisory plots the center on land but credible reporting confirms a crossing occurred between discrete advisory fixes, the market resolves "Yes." A disagreement exists only when a JMA advisory and credible reporting make contradictory claims about the storm's position at the same point in time; in that case, JMA is the default resolution source. In all cases, the classification is taken from the most recently issued JMA advisory prior to the confirmed crossing time.
This is a purely geographic criterion: the storm's center must pass over Chinese land. The most recently issued JMA advisory prior to the crossing must classify Dolphin as a tropical cyclone (tropical depression or higher). If that advisory classifies the system as extratropical, dissipated, or absorbed, the crossing does not count and the market will resolve to "No."
This market resolves "No" if Dolphin has been declared extratropical, dissipated, or absorbed on or before August 15 without having made landfall on Chinese territory, or if no landfall has physically occurred by the close of August 15, 2026.