SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)1.8T–2.0T
ResolvedOutcome: No$182Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOWatcher.Guru98%match89¢+12%
JUST IN: Elon Musk's SpaceX plans to file for IPO as soon as next month at $1.75 trillion valuation, Bloomberg reports.
YESzerohedge98%match11¢-100%
*SPACEX SAID TO WEIGH CONFIDENTIAL IPO FILING AS SOON AS MARCH
*SPACEX COULD SEEK VALUATION OVER $1.75 TRILLION IN IPO: SOURCES
YESFirst Squawk99%match11¢-100%
SPACEX COULD SEEK VALUATION OVER $1.75 TRILLION IN IPO: SOURCES
YEStradfi news98%match11¢-100%
*SPACEX SAID TO WEIGH CONFIDENTIAL IPO FILING AS SOON AS MARCH *SPACEX COULD SEEK VALUATION OVER $1.75 TRILLION IN IPO: SOURCES
NOBenzinga98%match69¢+45%
Elon Musk reportedly designed SpaceX’s acquisition of xAI to protect its IPO plans while limiting financial and legal risk. According to Reuters, the deal values the combined operation at about $1.25 trillion and is structured to keep SpaceX’s public market timeline intact.…
NOBenzinga99%match68¢+47%
Speculation around a SpaceX IPO is intensifying after Elon Musk merged SpaceX with xAI in a deal valued near $1.25 trillion. The transaction has fueled expectations that SpaceX could go public as early as June, potentially reshaping the global equity landscape. Prediction market…
YESBenzinga99%match13¢-100%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > Speculation around a SpaceX IPO is intensifying after Elon Musk merged SpaceX with xAI in a deal valued near $1.25 trillion. The transaction has fueled expectations that SpaceX could go public as early as June, potentially reshaping the global equity landscape. Prediction market…
NOBenzinga98%match87¢+15%
[Replying to @Benzinga] Speculation around a SpaceX IPO is intensifying after Elon Musk merged SpaceX with xAI in a deal valued near $1.25 trillion. The transaction has fueled expectations that SpaceX could go public as early as June, potentially reshaping the global equity landscape. Prediction market… >
Where does the news lean?
4YES4NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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