SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)No IPO before 2028
ResolvedOutcome: No$265Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
SpaceX IPO Is Forcing Changes To Index And Underwriting Rules. • The rapidly approaching SpaceX IPO will be groundbreaking, forcing index providers and underwriters to adapt to a new era of mega-scale issuance.
SpaceX's valuation is skyrocketing: • • In October 2025, the value of a share of SpaceX's pre-IPO stock on Jupiter was as low as $185. • • These pre-IPO shares are structured instruments backed 1:1 by SPV exposure, giving investors direct price exposure to SpaceX as a private company on platforms like Jupiter before any public listing. • • As IPO rumors began to surface in late-2025, the value of these shares surged +135% in December 2025. • • Now, SpaceX is preparing the largest IPO in history, at a valuation of $1.75 trillion or higher. • • The value of these same pre-IPO shares is now up to $733/share, marking a near-300% gain since October 2025. • • The world is about to witness a historic IPO.
SpaceX plans to launch its IPO roadshow the week of June 8, targeting a $1.75T valuation. Looking to raise $75B in the largest IPO in history. • • Up to 30% of shares set aside for retail investors (most IPOs: 5-10%). 1,500 retail investors invited to a major event on June 11. Prospectus expected late May. • • CFO Bret Johnsen: "Retail is going to be a critical part of this and a bigger part than any IPO in history." • • For context: SpaceX was valued at $800B in December 2025 before merging with xAI. Now targeting $1.75T.
NOReuters98%match94¢+6%
SpaceX Last Valued at $1.25 Trillion, Won’t Decide the Actual Size of the Offering and a Valuation Until a Few Weeks Before the IPO- the Information
NOBloomberg99%match91¢+10%
SpaceX held meetings with banks from outside the US for its IPO, according to people familiar with the matter, as Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker targets a listing this year on an ambitious timeline.
NOBloomberg98%match88¢+14%
As Elon Musk’s startup aims for a 2026 IPO, eager investors must navigate private markets, investment vehicles with lots of caveats and plenty of uncertainty. Tap the link to see what it really takes to invest in SpaceX before an IPO: : Madison Ketcham
Where does the news lean?
0YES9NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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