SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13Super Heavy booster explodes?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$227Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
SpaceX successfully completed the 13th test launch of its Starship spacecraft, which is being developed for future exploration of the Moon and Mars. During the hour-long flight, Starship made a partial orbit around the Earth, launched 20 Starlink satellites into orbit, and then made a soft splashdown on thrusters in the Indian Ocean northwest of Australia, where it remained afloat. The first stage, the Super Heavy launch vehicle, separated and splashed down in the Gulf of Mexico seven minutes after launch. SpaceX CEO Elon Musk expects to receive certification for manned Starship missions by the end of this year. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
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See all outcomes for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.