MLB: Home Runs LeaderShohei Ohtani
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The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Shohei Ohtani of the Dodgers hits his 24th home run, a two-run shot, after being sidelined; he had two hits and two RBIs, but his team suffered a come-from-behind loss in Major League Baseball.
The Dodgers' winning streak comes to an end; Shohei Ohtani hits his 24th home run (a two-run shot) and his 34th multi-hit game of the season, but the pitching staff is hit hard and the team loses.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 24th home run, a two-run shot! This is his first home run in two games since missing the previous day's game, and it gives his team a 4-3 lead.
Shohei Ohtani shows signs of a comeback with his 23rd leadoff home run and his 8th three-hit game of the season, while the Dodgers give up 5 home runs, resulting in their first loss to the Mariners in 5 years and 3 months since April 2021.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 23rd home run of the season, his first in 10 games, and his 10th leadoff homer of the season.
Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani hits his 23rd home run, his first in 10 games, and his first home run of the second half of the season.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 23rd home run of the season, his first in 10 games! His first home run in the 10th game of the second half of the season, a spectacular blast that fans had been eagerly awaiting at his home stadium for the first time in 16 days, drawing huge cheers from the crowd.
Shohei Ohtani reaches 350 career home runs in Japan and the US combined! He hit a spectacular 22nd home run in the last game before the All-Star break, and four in his last six games. He is just four away from Ichiro's record of 37 leadoff home runs, the most by any Japanese player.
Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani hits his 22nd home run, reaching 350 career home runs in Japan and the US combined.
Immediately after his All-Star absence was announced, Shohei Ohtani hit his 21st home run, a solo shot leading off the game. Despite being sidelined and not in top form, he still managed a powerful home run in Major League Baseball.
Shohei Ohtani, who was unable to pitch, hit his 21st solo home run, his eighth leadoff home run of the season.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 300th home run, the fifth fastest in history; expectations are rising as he continues to produce at this pace.
Shohei Ohtani becomes the first Japanese player to reach 300 career home runs in Major League Baseball, achieving the milestone in his ninth year.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 300th career MLB home run, his 20th of the season, a leadoff homer, in his second consecutive game.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 300th career MLB home run, a leadoff homer and his 20th of the season, his second in two consecutive games.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 300th career MLB home run, his 20th of the season, in his first at-bat... Reaching the milestone in his ninth season since his MLB debut.
Data confirms Shohei Ohtani's excellent form; he could reach 300 career home runs in Major League Baseball tomorrow.
Shohei Ohtani is just one home run away from 300 career MLB home runs... His 19th home run of the season, a go-ahead two-run homer, contributed to the victory.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 19th home run, a two-run shot, bringing him within one of 300 career home runs in Major League Baseball.
Shohei Ohtani hits his 19th home run of the season, a go-ahead two-run shot, putting him one home run away from his 300th career MLB home run.
Where does the news lean?
24YES5NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for MLB: Home Runs Leader — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.