MLB: Home Runs Leader
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This hub tracks 102 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
All further outcomes (72 more):
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What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Munetaka Murakami finished the season with 1 hit and 35 home runs, the most home runs by a Japanese player in his first year in MLB, and aims for a playoff upset with 3rd place in the wild card round.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits 2 home runs in one game, leading the league among Japanese players this season.
[UPDATE] Munetaka Murakami hits solo home runs #34 and #35; Roki Sasaki strikes out two batters in the first inning (first reported at 2026-09-26T00:45:44.670127800Z)
Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run, a two-run shot; Roki Sasaki returns in relief, pitching one scoreless inning.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run of the season, his first in four games; the team wins its third consecutive home run.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run in four games! He ties Okamoto for the most home runs by a Japanese player this season, a big hit to help the team reclaim first place, and is just three homers away from the rookie club record.
Munetaka Murakami delivers a go-ahead RBI single in a must-win game, Vargas makes a great play and hits his 33rd home run in two consecutive games, sending the home crowd into a frenzy as they chase down the league-leading Guardians.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits game-winning 32nd home run, a three-run shot.
[UPDATE] Dodgers win division title for the fifth consecutive year; Munetaka Murakami hits his 32nd home run, his first in 8 games (first reported at 2026-09-17T23:59:08.916108100Z)
Munetaka Murakami hits his 32nd home run, a game-winning three-run homer, and his first major league triple, ending the White Sox losing streak and putting them back in first place, tied with the Guardians.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 32nd home run in two games; Munetaka Murakami and Seiya Suzuki go hitless.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 31st home run, his first in three games.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 30th home run, tying Shohei Ohtani! His home run in two consecutive games sets a new personal rookie club record and ties the record for most home runs by a Japanese rookie.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, becoming the first Japanese player to reach the majors in his rookie year; Yusei Kikuchi earns his first win of the season.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run of the season, becoming the first Japanese player in his first year in Major League Baseball to do so.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his first year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami reaches 30 home runs, a first for a Japanese player in his rookie year, and his first home run in 17 games.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his rookie year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami becomes the first Japanese rookie to reach 30 home runs! He hits a two-run homer for the first time in 17 games to give his team the lead. He is just 5 home runs away from the rookie club record.
Munetaka Murakami has gone 0-for-16 games with 74 at-bats, but the team scored 4 runs with 3 home runs, ending their two-game losing streak.
Munetaka Murakami had a season-worst four games without a hit and 13 games without a home run, drawing a walk and striking out against Imai. The Hawks' losing streak was stopped, and they are now 3 games behind second place with 24 games remaining.
Munetaka Murakami went 12 games without a home run but drew 3 walks and recorded his first RBI in 12 games. The team suffered another loss despite 11 walks and hit batters, scoring only 3 runs, and are now 3 games behind the second-place Guardians.
Munetaka Murakami got his first hit in two games, but struck out twice or more in his third consecutive game, bringing his total to 9 strikeouts in the last three games. The team's pitching staff was also in disarray, issuing 10 walks and hit batsmen, and a game-tying home run was caught by a good catcher, preventing them from gaining momentum.
Yordan Alvarez's Triple Crown bid will have to survive a major challenge from the AL East
Munetaka Murakami went hitless for the first time in two games, and is in a major slump with only 1 hit in 20 at-bats and 8 strikeouts in his last 5 games, for a batting average of .050. The team also suffered a walk-off home run from Peters off closer Senga.
Munetaka Murakami had one hit but struck out four times, and the White Sox pitchers gave up five home runs, resulting in a loss. Koudai Senga of the Mets closed out the final inning without allowing a run.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run, putting him one home run away from his 30th of the season.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run! He also broke his own rookie record for most home runs, putting him one home run away from the 30-homer mark. Kazuma Okamoto is in second place with 25 home runs.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits his 28th home run, a game-winning two-run shot, to give the team their third consecutive win.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits game-winning 27th home run.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.