Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?↑ 200B HKD
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 64% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES64¢
NO37¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Shein's Hong Kong IPO pricing values company at $26.5 billion, sources say
Shein Launches $27 Billion IPO, Down 70% From Its Peak Valuation. • Shein is going public in Hong Kong, but its 73% valuation plunge highlights mounting cost, regulatory pressures, and a reputational crisis.
After years of effort, Shein finally priced its Hong Kong IPO, valuing the company at around $27 billion. This is a far cry from the approximately $100 billion valuation once achieved by the China-based company.
Shein targets $27 billion Hong Kong IPO — a fraction of its 2022 valuation
[UPDATE] Shein seeks $27bn valuation from Hong Kong IPO (first reported at 2026-08-24T01:55:47Z)
Shein aims for almost $27bn valuation in 1 September stock market debut
Shein eyes $2b HK IPO as Tencent, UBS arm weigh stakes. • Shein is seeking about US$2 billion at a valuation of US$26 billion to US$27 billion.
Chinese company Shein is targeting a valuation of between $26 billion and $27 billion in its initial public offering. #AlArabiya_Business
Shein is targeting a valuation of up to $27 Billion to go public
SHEIN IS TARGETING A $26 BILLION TO $27 BILLION VALUATION IN ITS HONG KONG IPO
EXCLUSIVE-Shein cuts company valuation to around $25 billion in Hong Kong IPO, sources say
Sheyin's valuation plummets 70% ahead of Hong Kong listing
Where does the news lean?
25YES9NO29neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shein's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No”.
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
This market will resolve based on market capitalization in Hong Kong Dollars (HKD). If the currency of the primary exchange is not HKD, this market will resolve based on a converted value to HKD, using the conversion rate at the time of market close of the primary exchange on the company's first day of trading.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
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