VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerShannon Taylor

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$14KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESapnews.com95%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor speaks after winning crowded primary in seat Democrats hope to flip
YEScbsnews.com98%match100¢
Shannon Taylor wins Democratic primary in Virginia's 1st District
YESnbcnews.com97%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor wins the Democratic primary for Virginia's 1st Congressional District, NBC News projects
YESnytimes.com96%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Primary for Virginia House Race
YESnytimes.com96%match100¢
Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Primary for Virginia House Race
YESapnews.com94%match100¢
Live: Prosecutor Shannon Taylor wins Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 1st District
YEScnn.com97%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor will win Democratic primary in Virginia’s 1st District, CNN projects
YESReuters94%match100¢
Henrico County Commonwealth Attorney Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Competitive U.S. House District 1 - AP Projects
YESAPws97%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Shannon Taylor wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia's 1st Congressional District
YESapnews.com97%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Shannon Taylor wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District
YESAxios Reporter94%match99¢+1%
Looks like DCCC-backed Shannon Taylor is on track to easily win the Democratic primary in #VA01 and take on GOP Rep. Rob Wittman in November:
YESReuters93%match99¢+1%
Henrico County Commonwealth Attorney Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Competitive U.S. House District 1 - NBC News Projects
YESReuters93%match99¢+1%
Henrico County Commonwealth Attorney Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Competitive U.S. House District 1 - Ddhq
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)96%match99¢+1%
Decision Desk HQ projects Shannon Taylor wins the VA US House 1 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:20 PM EDT

Where does the news lean?

15YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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See all outcomes for VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

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