VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes13as of

This hub tracks 13 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Shannon Taylor100%
Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs0%
Mel Tull0%
Other0%
Salaam Bhatti0%
Candidate E0%
Tim Cywinski0%
Jason Knapp0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate D0%
Ericka Kopp0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate C0%

What moved the odds?

16 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Shannon Taylorapnews.com95%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor speaks after winning crowded primary in seat Democrats hope to flip
Shannon Taylorcbsnews.com98%match100¢
Shannon Taylor wins Democratic primary in Virginia's 1st District
Shannon Taylornbcnews.com97%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor wins the Democratic primary for Virginia's 1st Congressional District, NBC News projects
Shannon Taylornytimes.com96%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Primary for Virginia House Race
Shannon Taylornytimes.com96%match100¢
Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Primary for Virginia House Race
Shannon Taylorapnews.com94%match100¢
Live: Prosecutor Shannon Taylor wins Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 1st District
Shannon Taylorcnn.com97%match100¢
Live: Shannon Taylor will win Democratic primary in Virginia’s 1st District, CNN projects
Shannon TaylorReuters94%match100¢
Henrico County Commonwealth Attorney Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Competitive U.S. House District 1 - AP Projects
Shannon TaylorAPws97%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Shannon Taylor wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia's 1st Congressional District
Shannon Taylorapnews.com97%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Shannon Taylor wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia’s 1st Congressional District
Shannon TaylorAxios Reporter94%match99¢+1%
Looks like DCCC-backed Shannon Taylor is on track to easily win the Democratic primary in #VA01 and take on GOP Rep. Rob Wittman in November:
Shannon TaylorReuters93%match99¢+1%
Henrico County Commonwealth Attorney Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Competitive U.S. House District 1 - NBC News Projects
Shannon TaylorReuters93%match99¢+1%
Henrico County Commonwealth Attorney Shannon Taylor Wins Democratic Nomination for Virginia’s Competitive U.S. House District 1 - Ddhq
Shannon TaylorDecision Desk (DDHQ)96%match99¢+1%
Decision Desk HQ projects Shannon Taylor wins the VA US House 1 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:20 PM EDT
Shannon TaylorDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 2% in): Virginia US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Shannon Taylor (D): 614 (53.9%) • Salaam Bhatti (D): 210 (18.4%) • Jason Knapp (D): 104 (9.1%) • Elizabeth Beggs (D): 82 (7.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Salaam BhattiDecision Desk (DDHQ)93%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 2% in): Virginia US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Shannon Taylor (D): 614 (53.9%) • Salaam Bhatti (D): 210 (18.4%) • Jason Knapp (D): 104 (9.1%) • Elizabeth Beggs (D): 82 (7.2%) • • Follow more results here: •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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