MA-06 Democratic Primary WinnerSeth Moulton
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
New Suffolk/Boston Globe poll of #MASEN Democratic primary: • • Ed Markey (i) 52 • Seth Moulton 38 • Undecided 9 • • (Aug. 13-16; 500 LVs; +/-4.4%) • •
Seth Moulton, who has positioned himself as a moderate in his time in House, is shifting to the left as he tries to defeat Ed Markey in primary: “What I'm saying is that we're both progressive,” Moulton said. • • And says of 80-year-old-Markey: “The reality is that if we win the United States Senate, it'll probably be by one vote. We've seen what's happened with Mitch McConnell. We've seen what's happened with Joe Biden. We've seen what's happened with Dianne Feinstein, we just can't afford as a party to lose the majority.” • • Markey whacks Moulton for his past votes and says: “This is the most energized I've ever been. I battle Trump every single day on every single issue.”
#MASEN Democratic primary: Seth Moulton outraised Ed Markey in the second quarter, $1.4 million to $1 million, per the latest FEC filings. • • Moulton has $2.6M cash on hand; Markey has $2.2 million.
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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