Satoshi's identity be provenDecember 31
Open$937Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
DOCUMENTARY CLAIMS SOLUTION TO $80B BITCOIN MYSTERY • • A NEW DOCUMENTARY CLAIMS TO HAVE IDENTIFIED BITCOIN CREATOR SATOSHI NAKAMOTO, SUGGESTING THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE BEEN BUILT BY CRYPTOGRAPHERS HAL FINNEY AND LEN SASSAMAN, BOTH NOW DECEASED. • • THE FILM ARGUES THIS COULD EXPLAIN WHY 1.1 MILLION UNTOUCHED BITCOINS—NOW WORTH OVER $80 BILLION—HAVE NEVER BEEN MOVED SINCE BEING MINED IN BITCOIN’S EARLY DAYS. • • THE MYSTERY REMAINS UNVERIFIED, BUT THE THEORY SUGGESTS THE FORTUNE MAY BE DORMANT BECAUSE ITS CREATOR IS NO LONGER ALIVE. ...
DOCUMENTARY CLAIMS SOLUTION TO $80B BITCOIN MYSTERY • • A new documentary claims to have identified Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto, suggesting the system may have been built by cryptographers Hal Finney and Len Sassaman, both now deceased. • • The film argues this could explain why 1.1 million untouched Bitcoins—now worth over $80 billion—have never been moved since being mined in Bitcoin’s early days. • • The mystery remains unverified, but the theory suggests the fortune may be dormant because its creator is no longer alive.
Where does the news lean?
1YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
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