Satoshi's identity be provenApril 30
ResolvedOutcome: No$15Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Satoshi Nakamoto Identity: 2026 Suspects and the $85B Question
Bitcoin OG Adam Back: Denies Being Satoshi Nakamoto • • On April 10, 2026, in an interview with Bloomberg Podcasts, Bitcoin OG Adam Back @adam3us denied speculations that he is Satoshi Nakamoto. He stated that current discussions lack new evidence. • • To prove this, he offered three technical arguments: first, he would have used privacy technology from Sander and Ta-Shma's paper; second, early Bitcoin code contains cryptographic formatting mistakes he would never make; third, IRC logs still retain records of him asking other developers to explain Bitcoin's details at the time.
VICE: Bitcoin Creator Satoshi Nakamoto's True Identity Has Been Revealed. Or Has It?
Where does the news lean?
1YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
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See all outcomes for Satoshi's identity be proven — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.