Holborn and St Pancras By-Election WinnerSagal Abdi-Wali
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$60Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESpressassociation95%match100¢
[UPDATE] Sagal Abdi-Wali says Labour by-election victory is testament to diversity (first reported at 2026-10-09T03:18:32Z)
Live: Sagal Abdi-Wali: Who is Labour’s new MP?
Live: Here’s a full rundown on the byelection results – sorted alphabetically – and who the votes went to. Sagal Abdi-Wali (Labour) – 12,292 Barmy Brunch (Monster Rav
[UPDATE] Live: Who is Labour's new MP Sagal Abdi-Wali? (first reported at 2026-10-09T03:00:00Z)
Live: Sagal Abdi-Wali pays tribute to Keir Starmer after by-election win
Live: Abdi-Wali says she is honoured to become Holborn and St Pancras MP
Sagal Abdi-Wali standing next to the Restore Britain candidate as she's named the new MP for Holborn and St Pancras
Live: Labour’s Sagal Abdi-Wali has been declared the byelection winner with 12,292 votes. Zack Polanski came in second with 8,928.
Live: BREAKING: Labour candidate Sagal Abdi-Wali beats Zack Polanski to win Holborn and St Pancras by-election
Live: Labour candidate Sagal Abdi-Wali beats Zack Polanski to win Holborn and St Pancras by-election
YESpressassociation99%match100¢
ALERT: Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali has retained the Holborn and St Pancras seat for Labour in a by-election called after former prime minister Sir Keir Starmer stepped down, defeating Green Party leader Zack Polanski.
NEW Camden council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali has been selected as the Labour candidate for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
Labour select Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali to stand in Keir Starmer's old seat in by-election •
BREAK: Sagal Abdi-Wali has won the Labour selection in Holborn and St Pancras. • • You read it here first:
Where does the news lean?
14YES0NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
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See all outcomes for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.