Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Open$53Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOfirstsquawk99%match92¢+7%
G7 HAS REAFFIRMED ITS DETERMINATION TO CONTINUE SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA.
NOfinancialjuice99%match92¢+7%
G7 Statement: The G7 reaffirmed its determination to continue sanctions against Russia.
NOcgtneurope99%match92¢+7%
G7 STATEMENT: G7 REAFFIRMED THEIR DETERMINATION TO CONTINUE SANCTIONS AGAINST RUSSIA
NOReuters99%match92¢+7%
G7 Statement: G7 Reaffirmed Their Determination to Continue Sanctions Against Russia
NOft.com99%match93¢+5%
Live: G7 leaders agree no justification to lift Russia sanctions
NOdbws.io99%match93¢+5%
G7 agreed to maintain sanctions against Russia, says Macron
NOfirstsquawk99%match93¢+5%
FRENCH PRESIDENT MACRON SAYS G7 HAS AGREED SITUATION DOES NOT JUSTIFY LIFTING SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
NOcgtneurope99%match93¢+5%
FRENCH PRESIDENT MACRON: G7 HAS AGREED SITUATION DOES NOT JUSTIFY LIFTING SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.