South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round WinnerRussell Fry
ResolvedOutcome: No$35Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: With Darline Graham’s spot in a special primary runoff secured, the question has flipped to who will join her in two weeks. Ralph Norman and Russell Fry are in a close contest for the second spot, though more outstanding votes appear to be coming from areas where Norman has more support thus far. Most of Fry’s support has come from the congressional district he represents, which has already reported a large share of its votes. Mark Sanford, the former governor of the state, is in fourth place. He has even fallen behind in Charleston County, which he used to represent in Congress.
#SCSEN special primary: Ralph Norman widens his lead over Russell Fry for the second runoff spot. With 66% of the vote in, Norman leads Fry 25.2% to 20.6%.
Palmetto Leadership Fund, the super PAC backing Russell Fry in the #SCSEN special election, was seeded with $500K from his House campaign account, per a new FEC filing:
Where does the news lean?
5YES3NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.