MA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerRichard Neal

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$79KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESapnews.com98%match98¢+2%
Richard Neal wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District
YESnbcnews.com98%match98¢+2%
Live: Incumbent Richard Neal wins the Democratic primary for Massachusetts's 1st Congressional District, NBC News projects

Where does the news lean?

20YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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See all outcomes for MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.