Next Secretary-General of the United NationsRebeca Grynspan
Open$15Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 39% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES39¢
NO61¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
United Nations insider Rebeca Grynspan was leading in the first round of the process to pick the next UN chief that began Thursday, diplomatic sources told AFP. •
NEW: per diplomatic sources: Rebeca Grynspan candidate for United Nations Secretary-General from Costa Rica took the lead in the informal straw poll that took place behind closed doors by the Security Council to choose the next UN Secretary General. • She was followed by Guyana's Ambassador to the UN Carolyn Rodriguez-Birkett.
NEW: per diplomatic sources: Rebeca Grynspan candidate for United Nations Secretary-General from Costa Rica took the lead in the informal straw poll that took place behind closed doors by the Security Council to choose the next UN Secretary General. • She was followed by former Guyana's Ambassador to the UN Carolyn Rodriguez-Birkett.
YESReuters97%match17¢+129%
First Informal UN Security Council Poll Shows Rebeca Grynspan of Costa Rica as Current Frontrunner in Race to Become New UN Secretary-General - Diplomats
Where does the news lean?
5YES1NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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