Next Secretary-General of the United NationsMaría Fernanda Espinosa
Open$10Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Rebecca Greenspan leads the latest Security Council poll with 9 encouraging votes and could become the first woman to lead the United Nations, but the race is not over.
Rebecca Grynspan leads in new vote for UN Secretary-General
Eight candidates for UN Secretary-General; Guyanese diplomat leads race to succeed Guterres The second unofficial vote of the UN Security Council, while the number of candidates for UN Secretary-General to succeed Antonio Guterres, the current Secretary-General of this international organization, has reached eight, was held on Friday local time, and Ms. Caroline Alison Frida Rodriguez Birkett, a diplomat from Guyana, was the leader of the race. According to IRNA, informed sources told IRNA correspondent at the UN headquarters on Friday local time: In the second round of the Security Council's secret ballot on the election of the new UN Secretary-General, Rodriguez Birkett has surpassed Rebecca Greenspan, former Vice President of Costa Rica, who was the leader in the first round.
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Where does the news lean?
0YES21NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 86% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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