Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?Rachel Reeves

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$12KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOThe i Paper Reporter92%match98¢+2%
Exclusive: John Healey is poised to revive Britain’s bid to join an international banking scheme in order to boost defence spending, after his predecessor Rachel Reeves refused to back it. • The new Chancellor quit as defence secretary last month over the failure of Reeves and the Treasury to find enough money to pay for rearmament - a move widely thought to have been the final straw that forced Sir Keir Starmer’s resignation. • But The i Paper has learned that discussion about joining the Defence, Security and Resilience Bank (DSRB) – a Canadian-led scheme that helps member states finance defence projects at lower cost – took place within Andy Burnham’s transition team before he took office. • Now Healey, who was Burnham’s surprise pick for Chancellor, • is expected to pick up the baton after it emerged that he had privately pushed for the UK join the DSRB when he was defence secretary. • A source familiar with the discussions said they expected the new Government to “move on it”. • In his resignation letter Healey pointed to “credible ways” of raising extra money, including working multinationally – a reference widely read as pointing to the DSRB. Treasury officials at the time countered that Healey had never formally submitted a funding request for UK membership. • The Chancellor is understood to have viewed the bank as a way to help close the defence funding gap while also benefiting British defence firms. • •
NOmirror.co.uk98%match99¢+1%
Live: Andy Burnham's Cabinet - Who's in and who's out as Angela Rayner returns and Rachel Reeves loses job
NOGuardian Reporter97%match98¢+2%
Update on who has left cabinet so far: Rachel Reeves - who we're told was offered another big job but turned it down - David Lammy, Richard Hermer, Peter Kyle, Steve Reed, Liz Kendall, Darren Jones. All expected really...
NOGuardian Reporter97%match98¢+2%
Update on who has left cabinet so far: Rachel Reeves - who we're told was offered another big job but turned it down - David Lammy, Richard Hermer, Peter Kyle, Steve Reed and Liz Kendall. All expected really...
NOWSJ Reporter94%match98¢+2%
I understand Rachel Reeves was offered another big job in cabinet, but turned it down and will return to the back benches
NOSky Reporter94%match98¢+2%
I understand Rachel Reeves was offered another big job in cabinet, but turned it down and will return to the back benches
So far three cabinet exits have been confirmed. They are: Chancellor Rachel Reeves, Deputy PM/Justice Secretary David Lammy, and Communities Secretary Steve Reed
NOBBC98%match98¢+2%
Rachel Reeves and David Lammy leaving cabinet as new UK PM Andy Burnham to start making key appointments
NOnytimes.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: There had been speculation that Burnham might find another cabinet job for Rachel Reeves, the departing chancellor of the Exchequer, and for David Lammy who was deputy prime minister and justice secretary. Instead both are leaving the cabinet, suggesting that a significant clear out is underway, and that the new prime minister’s top team will look very different.
NOTimes Reporter93%match98¢+2%
BREAKING • • Rachel Reeves has decided to leave government • • She was offered a significant job but declined • • She leaves for the backbenches after less than two years in the job
NOHuffPost Reporter97%match98¢+2%
Rachel Reeves Sacked As Andy Burnham Axes Keir Starmer Loyalists In Brutal reshuffle • •
NONew Statesman Reporter96%match98¢+2%
Despite speculation she would take a more junior role in government, Rachel Reeves appears to be heading for the back benches
NOlivesquawk94%match98¢+2%
No job for Rachel Reeves or David Lammy or Steve Reed. Though Reeves’s spokes says she was offered a “big” job, which she declined. All pretty brutal however
NOITV Reporter94%match95¢+5%
No job for Rachel Reeves or David Lammy or Steve Reed. Though Reeves’s spokes says she was offered a “big” job, which she declined. All pretty brutal however
NOtheguardian.com95%match91¢+10%
Live: Chancellor Rachel Reeves leaves government
NOiPaper Reporter95%match91¢+10%
Rachel Reeves, Steve Reed, David Lammy all out. This new regime not hanging around.
NOITV Reporter96%match95¢+5%
Rachel Reeves sacked as Chancellor and sounds like she won’t be serving in the cabinet at all.
NOMacro analyst92%match80¢+25%
*RACHEL REEVES RESIGNS AS UK CHANCELLOR OF THE EXCHEQUER

Where does the news lean?

4YES22NO5neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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