OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solutionDecember 31, 2026

OpenVol$356KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES16¢
NO84¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESchinesewsj94%match16¢
#This Week's Hot Read A month after solving the Millennium Prize Problem, OpenAI released research results covering more than 300 problems, attempting to regain the trust of the mathematics community. As stunned mathematics experts began to digest these results, even a researcher within Anthropic called OpenAI's release "clearly the most important moment in the history of mathematics."
YESFrench Media94%match46¢-65%
OpenAI spent "millions of dollars" on tokens and mobilized "more than 10,000 AI agents" to solve one of the Millennium Prize Problems, but researchers accuse it of plagiarism.
YESbfmtv.com94%match46¢-65%
OpenAI spent "millions of dollars" on tokens and mobilized "more than 10,000 AI agents" to solve one of the Millennium Prize Problems, but researchers accuse it of plagiarism.

Where does the news lean?

5YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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