Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 74% on Sep 10, 2026

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Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 45.5¢ to 73.5¢ (+28 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from bfmtv.com.

How did the odds move?

At match45.5¢
+5m48¢
+30m48.5¢
+1h73.5¢
+24h51.5¢
1h move+28 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 10, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 45.5¢ → 73¢+27.5 ptsafter a signal from French Media

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yesbfmtv.com94%match
OpenAI spent "millions of dollars" on tokens and mobilized "more than 10,000 AI agents" to solve one of the Millennium Prize Problems, but researchers accuse it of plagiarism.
YesFrench Media94%match
OpenAI spent "millions of dollars" on tokens and mobilized "more than 10,000 AI agents" to solve one of the Millennium Prize Problems, but researchers accuse it of plagiarism.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES14¢
NO87¢

Vol$317K

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Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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