How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
ResolvedOutcome: No$10Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Senate confirms new Fed chair as Trump allies warn rate cuts may have to wait
Senate to confirm new Fed chair as Trump allies warn rate cuts may be out this year
Nominations Sent to the Senate
*WARSH NOMINATION TO FED CHAIR CLEARS SENATE PROCEDURAL VOTE
FED CHAIR NOMINEE WARSH CLEARS KEY PROCEDURAL HURDLE ON PATH TO SENATE CONFIRMATION VOTE ...
FED CHAIR NOMINEE WARSH CLEARS KEY PROCEDURAL HURDLE AHEAD OF SENATE CONFIRMATION VOTE ...
FED CHAIR NOMINEE WARSH CLEARS KEY PROCEDURAL HURDLE ON PATH TO SENATE CONFIRMATION VOTE
FED CHAIR NOMINEE WARSH CLEARS KEY PROCEDURAL HURDLE AHEAD OF SENATE CONFIRMATION VOTE
FED CHAIR NOMINEE WARSH CLEARS KEY PROCEDURAL HURDLE ON PATH TO SENATE CONFIRMATION VOTE
Fed chair nominee Warsh clears hurdle on path to Senate confirmation
NOReuters99%match99¢+1%
Fed Chair Nominee Warsh Clears Key Procedural Hurdle on Path to Senate Confirmation Vote
Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh advances to Senate confirmation vote
Where does the news lean?
0YES14NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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