Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %Farage 80%+
ResolvedOutcome: No$601Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Nigel Farage, leader of the British Reform Party, won his seat in the British Parliament in the Clacton by-election by more than 22,000 votes, an election in which his main rival was a comic character named "Kent Beanface" who looks like a dustbin and which was boycotted by the main British parties. Reuters reported that Farage won 22,239 votes in the election. "Kent Beanface", a comic character created by a comedian, came in second with 9,455 votes. The by-election was held in Clacton, a coastal town in southern England. The main British political parties boycotted the contest, which made "Kent Beanface" Farage's main rival. Farage himself had prepared the ground for the election. According to Reuters, he sought to strengthen his position against allegations of financial irregularities.
Sir John Curtice says that the political world has changed since Nigel Farage triggered the Clacton by-election and he faces 'quite a substantial political challenge' trying to restore Reform's lead in the polls • • * In the immediate wake of the decision to call the by-election support for Reform did noticeably fall in the polls. The electoral world has changed since he precipitated by-election - Labour has enjoyed a Burnham bounce and the Conservatives are now just four points adrift • • * 'Yes Mr Farage has secured a victory that he will feel justifies what he has done. But it does mean that he goes back as full time leader of Reform facing quite a substantial political challenge trying to get Reform's support back up so it is back in the lead of the polls and there is clear blue water between Reform and the Conservatives' • • * The turnout was significant - 44 per cent - suggesting that voters in Clacton did not think the by-election was a 'farce' even if opposition parties did. 'If anything is surprising it is that despite it seeming obvious who was going to win so many voters turned out' • • * Count Binface's performance was 'remarkable' for a joke candidate - around a quarter of the vote
Live: Farage won 63.3% of the vote, with Westminster's other main parties not standing
Live: Binface scored more than 25 percent of vote share in Clacton in humiliating blow for Farage
Live: Farage wins 62.8 per cent of the vote
Farage - 22,239 (62.8%) • Binface - 9,455 (26.7%)
How Nigel Farage’s by-election bid backfired badly
Live: British public thinks major parties are right to boycott Clacton by-election, says poll
Where does the news lean?
1YES11NO53neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
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See all outcomes for Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote % — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.