Next leader out of power before 2027?Maduro - Venezuela President
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$195Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESBloomberg99%match100¢
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro looks to be heading to trial in an American court after his capture in a US military operation that leaves open the future direction and leadership of his oil-rich nation.
YESFirst Squawk99%match100¢
President Nicolás Maduro approaches his last act as Venezuela’s autocratic leader
YESBloomberg98%match100¢
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro looks to be heading to trial in an American court after his capture in a US military operation that leaves open the future direction and leadership of his oil-rich nation
YESBloomberg99%match100¢
President Nicolás Maduro approaches his last act as Venezuela’s autocratic leader
YESThe Economist98%match26¢+285%
Venezuela is “approaching a national renaissance”, writes @MariaCorinaYA. With clear rules and international engagement, she believes it will become “the Latin American miracle of the 21st century”
YESThe Economist98%match27¢+270%
The transition to democracy in Venezuela “is not hypothetical; it has already begun”, argues the opposition leader and Nobel laureate. “The fear inside the regime is palpable”
Where does the news lean?
11YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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