August Inflation US - Monthly0.0%
ResolvedOutcome: No$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Inflation: CPI Remains Warm, Fed Rate Hike Looking More Likely Next Week. • The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) report today, showing inflation remains a bit hot, up 0.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in August after rising 0.1% in July. Over the last 12 months, the index rose 3.4% before seasonal adjustments... Read More
Following inflation data, swap contracts are pricing in a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next week, compared to 70% previously. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in August (seasonally adjusted) for the month, bringing the annual increase to 3.4%. The core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, while the core annual rate was 2.4%. #Arabic_Business
U.S. August CPI Holds at 3.4%, Core Inflation Falls to Lowest Since March 2021 • • U.S. CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, the largest increase in three months, while the annual inflation rate held at 3.4%, both in line with expectations. Gasoline prices jumped 3.9% and accounted for more than one-third of the monthly increase. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month, also matching forecasts, while the annual core rate slowed to 2.4% from 2.5%, its lowest level since March 2021.
US inflation accelerated to 0.4% month-on-month in August from 0.1% in July, in line with expectations.
US CPI (M/M) Aug: 0.4% (est 0.4%; prev 0.1%) • - CPI (Y/Y): 3.4% (est 3.4%; prev 3.4%) • - Core CPI (M/M): 0.3% (est 0.2%; prev 0.2%) • - Core CPI (Y/Y): 2.4% (est 2.5%; prev 2.6%)
NONews93%match100¢
US CPI rose 0.4% in August compared to the previous month (Reuters forecast a 0.4% increase).
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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