CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)Melissa Hernandez
Open$8Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES16¢
NO84¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Aisha Wahab will defeat Melissa Hernandez in the #CA14 special election runoff, CNN projects
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
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