CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)Aisha Wahab
Open$12Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 84% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES84¢
NO17¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Democrats rally behind progressive Aisha Wahab after her win in California special election
Aisha Wahab wins race to fill Swalwell’s House seat, overcoming AIPAC spending, reports @praveenasoma
Progressive Aisha Wahab wins Eric Swalwell’s former House seat
Live: Progressive Aisha Wahab has been elected to Congress in a special election following a bitter intra-party battle over the seat formerly held by Eric Swalwell, w
Democrat Aisha Wahab Wins Special Election to Replace Eric Swalwell
California lawmaker Aisha Wahab wins special election to succeed Eric Swalwell in Congress
Aisha Wahab wins special election to serve out remainder of Eric Swalwell's term
Democrat Aisha Wahab wins the special election for Eric Swalwell’s former Bay Area House seat
Aisha Wahab wins special election to fill Swalwell’s former House seat
Aisha Wahab wins race to fill Swalwell’s House seat, overcoming AIPAC spending
Democrat Aisha Wahab wins California special election to fill Eric Swalwell’s US House seat
Aisha Wahab will defeat Melissa Hernandez in the #CA14 special election runoff, CNN projects
Democrat Aisha Wahab wins the special election for Eric Swalwell’s former California district
Democrat Aisha Wahab will win Swalwell’s House seat, CNN projects, overcoming millions in AIPAC spending
Where does the news lean?
17YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
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See all outcomes for CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual) — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.