Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola
Open$237Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 65% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES65¢
NO36¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOAxios99%match50¢-30%
Alaska Senate: Dan Sullivan raises $1.4 million in Q4
YESPOLITICO99%match48¢+35%
NEW: Former Rep. Mary Peltola raked in $1.5 million in the first 24 hours of her Alaska Senate bid. Details on the donations, first in @politico
YESBloomberg99%match51¢+27%
Former Alaska Representative Mary Peltola launched a campaign Monday to challenge Republican Dan Sullivan for one of Alaska’s Senate seats, putting the race in play for Democrats in November’s midterms
YESAxios99%match51¢+27%
Mary Peltola plunges into Alaska Senate race Via @HansNichols
YESThe New York Times99%match50¢+30%
Breaking News: Mary Peltola announced that she would run for Senate in Alaska, lifting Democrats’ hopes as they face a tough midterm map.
YESAxios99%match50¢+30%
Mary Peltola plunges into Alaska Senate race
YESThe Wall Street Journal99%match50¢+30%
Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola said she would challenge incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska, a move that could put the red-leaning state in play as Democrats make a long-shot bid to retake control of the Senate
YESPOLITICO99%match50¢+30%
Former Rep. Mary Peltola jumps into Alaska Senate race
YESFirst Squawk99%match50¢+30%
DEMOCRATIC MARY PELTOLA ANNOUNCES SENATE RUN IN ALASKA: CNN
Where does the news lean?
9YES1NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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See all outcomes for Alaska Senate Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.