AZ-05 Republican Primary WinnerMark Lamb
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$71Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Mark Lamb is the heavy favorite to replace Andy Biggs in the solidly red #AZ05
Trump-backed Mark Lamb wins Arizona House primary despite sex scandals
YESAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Mark Lamb wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Arizona's 5th Congressional District
Live: Mark Lamb wins the Republican primary for Arizona's 5th Congressional District, NBC News projects
DDHQ Race Update (est. 60% in): Arizona US House 5 Republican Primary • • Mark Lamb (R): 33,072 (58.7%) • Daniel Keenan (R): 23,259 (41.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
It is my Great Honor to endorse MAGA Warrior Mark Lamb, who is running to represent the Great People of Arizona’s 5th Congressional District. As the former Sheriff of Pinal County, Mark strongly supports our incredible Law Enforcement, Military, and Veterans, and knows the Wisdom and Courage it takes to Ensure LAW AND ORDER. In Congress, Mark will work hard to Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, and Protect our always under siege Second Amendment. Mark Lamb has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Congressman from Arizona’s 5th Congressional District — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.