Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?Marco Rubio
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 41% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES41¢
NO60¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Making way for J.D. Vance? Report: "Marco Rubio has no plans to run for president"
Live: Marco Rubio says he has ‘no plans at this time’ to run for president
NEWS: Marco Rubio privately said that he is not planning a 2028 presidential bid, according to a person familiar with the matter @NBCNews • • Rubio has said he would support JD Vance as the nominee if he runs • • But he is leaving the door open for the future
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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