Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in ParaíbaLula
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$33Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
[UPDATE] Bolsonaro and Lula head to a runoff in Brazil's presidential election (first reported at 2026-10-04T04:59:45Z)
YESNews93%match99¢+1%
Brazilian media reports that Lula and Flavio are certain to advance to the runoff in the presidential election.
Where does the news lean?
5YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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See all outcomes for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.