What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?Iran 5+ times
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$765as of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Speaking to reporters, the White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, signaled that Washington remained open to negotiations with Tehran, claiming that Iran “very much continues to talk to the United States of America and express that they want to make a deal with us because they are suffering devastating blows.”
White House @PressSec tells me she spoke to the President before today’s briefing and Iran continues to want to make a deal with the U.S.. • • Also asked why Americans should want another deal with Iran.
White House spokeswoman Caroline Leavitt: Iran wants to reach an agreement... and Trump and Vice President Jay D. Vance are in agreement on Tehran.
Trump says negotiations with Iran are "going well," and media leaks indicate Tehran wants access to part of its frozen assets, estimated at $6 billion.
IRAN SAYS IT WILL RESPOND TO US INTERVENTIONS IN HORMUZ: FARS
Live: Further US bombings on Iran are 'up to the Iranians,' Vance says
"In any case, we have paved the way for Iran to disarm. Their ballistic missiles have been destroyed. Their military capabilities have been completely destroyed. Now these negotiations are continuing to reach a final agreement. So, in any case, America is safer and victorious." Kelly said: "But the president of the United States has made it clear many times that if they shoot at us, we will respond. However, he believes that the United States and Iran have a good opportunity to reach an agreement that eliminates Iran's nuclear capabilities." The deputy White House spokeswoman said: "In any case, America is safer and victorious. The president has also made it clear that if they shoot at us, we will respond. He believes Washington and Tehran have a good chance of reaching an agreement that would eliminate Iran's nuclear capabilities."
The White House to Fox News: Whether the memorandum of understanding fails or not, we have paved the way for the denuclearization of Iran. Talks on an agreement with Iran are continuing. Technical teams are holding discussions on all aspects of the memorandum of understanding with Iran. President Trump prefers diplomatic solutions and believes that we and Iran have an opportunity to reach a good agreement.
"In any case, we have paved the way for Iran to denuclearize," White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly told Fox News. "Their ballistic missiles have been destroyed again. Their military capabilities have been completely destroyed. Now negotiations are continuing to reach a final agreement."
The White House told Fox News: President Trump has been clear that we will retaliate if #Iran fires on us.
The White House told Fox News: Talks on an agreement with #Iran are continuing.
Trump: Talks with Iran are going very well
Trump: "Had a very good meeting... Iran denuclearization proceeding smoothly"
Live: Trump says U.S. and Iran have had "very good meetings" in Doha
Live: Trump: US has 'had very good meetings' with Iran
.@POTUS: "The denuclearization of Iran is moving along well... the stock market is setting records virtually every day. The oil price is way down... lower than when I started the attack on Iran so that they'd never have a nuclear weapon."
Trump: We are having very good meetings with Iran
#Breaking | Trump: We are having very good meetings with Iran
Iran says it will begin negotiations on a final agreement with the United States when the time is right.
Where does the news lean?
50YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such press briefing happens by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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