MLB: AL Rookie of the YearKazuma Okamoto
Open$230Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto contributes to victory with 3 RBIs, including his 27th home run.
Kazuma Okamoto hit his 27th solo home run and the game-winning sacrifice fly, driving in 3 runs! His first home run in 7 games also broke his own rookie club record.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 26th solo home run! A 126.5m blast to left field for the opening run, setting a new club record for rookies. The team wins the series against the league-leading Rays.
Kazuma Okamoto, entering the game as a defensive player, rode the momentum and hit his 24th home run, breaking the record for most home runs by a Japanese rookie and tying the team's rookie record.
Kazuma Okamoto hits 23 home runs in his first year in MLB, surpassing Ohtani's record, but says "the most important thing is winning the game." His manager praises him as "a truly talented player."
Kazuma Okamoto hits a league-leading 23rd home run in his rookie year; Tomoyuki Sugano earns his 10th win; Roki Sasaki earns his 4th win.
Kazuma Okamoto hits a league-leading 23rd home run in his rookie year; Tomoyuki Sugano earns his 10th win, and Roki Sasaki also gets his 4th win.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto hits his 23rd home run, the most by a Japanese player in his rookie year in Major League Baseball.
Kazuma Okamoto hits a league-leading 23rd home run in his rookie year; Tomoyuki Sugano earns his 10th win, and Roki Sasaki also earns his 4th win.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 23rd home run! He surpasses Shohei Ohtani to set a new record for most home runs by a Japanese rookie player, sending the opposing team into a frenzy as the ball hits the center field scoreboard.
Kazuma Okamoto breaks Shohei Ohtani's record with 23 home runs in a season, the most by a rookie Japanese player.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 21st home run, a grand slam, putting him just one home run away from becoming the Japanese player with the most home runs in his rookie year.
Where does the news lean?
18YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 51% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.