MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

OpenOutcomes46as of

Market pricing makes Kevin McGonigle the favorite at 93% across 46 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

F
G
H
I
J

All further outcomes (16 more):

K · L · M · N · O · P · Q · R · S · T · U · V · W · X · Y · Other

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto leads the team with 33 home runs and 92 RBIs.
Munetaka Murakami finished the season with 1 hit and 35 home runs, the most home runs by a Japanese player in his first year in MLB, and aims for a playoff upset with 3rd place in the wild card round.
White Sox's Munetaka Murakami hits 2 home runs in one game, leading the league among Japanese players this season.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto gets 2 hits and 3 RBIs, bringing his RBI total to 92.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 33rd home run in four games! He ties Okamoto for the most home runs by a Japanese player this season, a big hit to help the team reclaim first place, and is just three homers away from the rookie club record.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 32nd home run, a game-winning three-run homer, and his first major league triple, ending the White Sox losing streak and putting them back in first place, tied with the Guardians.
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Kazuma Okamoto hits his 33rd home run of the season, a three-run shot, for the second consecutive game; the Dodgers advance to the playoffs.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto hits his 32nd home run, the most by any Japanese player.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 31st solo home run, tying him with Munetaka Murakami for the most home runs by a Japanese player. Despite two hits, the Blue Jays suffer their second consecutive loss due to early runs conceded.
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Shohei Ohtani dropped from the starting lineup again; Kazuma Okamoto hits a spectacular home run! Reaches 30 home runs in his rookie year in the majors, becoming only the second Japanese player in history to do so, after Munetaka Murakami.
Kazuma Okamoto reaches the milestone of 30 home runs! A "30-home run trio" is formed among Japanese players: Ohtani, Murakami, and Okamoto. The team also secures its first win in two games, closing the gap to third place in the World Card standings.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 30th home run, becoming the third Japanese player this season and the second in his first year in the majors.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 30th home run, tying Shohei Ohtani! His home run in two consecutive games sets a new personal rookie club record and ties the record for most home runs by a Japanese rookie.
MLB's Munetaka Murakami emerges from his slump, igniting a 10-run landslide victory with his go-ahead hit.
Kazuma Okamoto had a spectacular game, recording 4 hits and 2 RBIs—a first in his major league career! He also hit the game-winning RBI single, leading the Blue Jays to their fourth consecutive win.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, becoming the first Japanese player to reach the majors in his rookie year; Yusei Kikuchi earns his first win of the season.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run of the season, becoming the first Japanese player in his first year in Major League Baseball to do so.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his first year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami reaches 30 home runs, a first for a Japanese player in his rookie year, and his first home run in 17 games.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 30th home run, a two-run shot, becoming the first Japanese player to do so in his rookie year in the majors.
Munetaka Murakami becomes the first Japanese rookie to reach 30 home runs! He hits a two-run homer for the first time in 17 games to give his team the lead. He is just 5 home runs away from the rookie club record.
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Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto contributes to victory with 3 RBIs, including his 27th home run.
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Kazuma Okamoto hits his 27th home run, Seiya Suzuki gets 3 hits, and Munetaka Murakami gets 2 hits.
Munetaka Murakami scores the go-ahead run with his first hit in three games! He also prevents a run with a great throw in the field, and the team is on a three-game winning streak, leading the American League Central Division.
Kazuma Okamoto hit his 27th solo home run and the game-winning sacrifice fly, driving in 3 runs! His first home run in 7 games also broke his own rookie club record.
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Kazuma Okamoto hits his 27th home run, Seiya Suzuki gets 3 hits, and Munetaka Murakami hits a double.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 26th solo home run! A 126.5m blast to left field for the opening run, setting a new club record for rookies. The team wins the series against the league-leading Rays.
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Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto contributes to victory with his 26th home run.
Kazuma Okamoto has a hit in five consecutive games and an RBI in two consecutive games, but three-time Cy Young Award winner Jerzer gives up seven runs in four innings, a major setback for the offense. The offense rallied in the middle innings but fell short by one run.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run! He also broke his own rookie record for most home runs, putting him one home run away from the 30-homer mark. Kazuma Okamoto is in second place with 25 home runs.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.