MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
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Market pricing makes Kevin McGonigle the favorite at 85% across 46 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
29 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto contributes to victory with 3 RBIs, including his 27th home run.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 27th home run, Seiya Suzuki gets 3 hits, and Munetaka Murakami gets 2 hits.
Munetaka Murakami scores the go-ahead run with his first hit in three games! He also prevents a run with a great throw in the field, and the team is on a three-game winning streak, leading the American League Central Division.
Kazuma Okamoto hit his 27th solo home run and the game-winning sacrifice fly, driving in 3 runs! His first home run in 7 games also broke his own rookie club record.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 27th home run, Seiya Suzuki gets 3 hits, and Munetaka Murakami hits a double.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 26th solo home run! A 126.5m blast to left field for the opening run, setting a new club record for rookies. The team wins the series against the league-leading Rays.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto contributes to victory with his 26th home run.
Kazuma Okamoto has a hit in five consecutive games and an RBI in two consecutive games, but three-time Cy Young Award winner Jerzer gives up seven runs in four innings, a major setback for the offense. The offense rallied in the middle innings but fell short by one run.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run! He also broke his own rookie record for most home runs, putting him one home run away from the 30-homer mark. Kazuma Okamoto is in second place with 25 home runs.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 29th home run! He also broke his own rookie record for most home runs, putting him one home run away from the 30-homer mark. Kazuma Okamoto is in second place with 25 home runs.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto gets 1 hit, reaching 100 hits this season; team wins 2nd straight.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 25th solo home run, surpassing Kazuma Okamoto to become the Japanese rookie with the most home runs; a spectacular hit after a 6-game hiatus, but the White Sox suffer their fourth consecutive loss.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 25th solo home run, surpassing Kazuma Okamoto to become the Japanese rookie with the most home runs; a spectacular hit after a 6-game hiatus, but the White Sox suffer their fourth consecutive loss.
Munetaka Murakami hits his 24th home run of the season, a two-run shot, his first in two games! This home run, sent to disaster-stricken Kumamoto, ties the record for most home runs by a Japanese rookie and contributes to the team's decisive victory.
Kazuma Okamoto, entering the game as a defensive player, rode the momentum and hit his 24th home run, breaking the record for most home runs by a Japanese rookie and tying the team's rookie record.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto gets one hit and his first stolen base in Major League Baseball.
Munetaka Murakami had a spectacular game with 3 hits, including 2 home runs, and 6 RBIs! He's just one hit away from breaking the record for most RBIs by a Japanese rookie player, and his team won big with a score of 12-3.
Kazuma Okamoto hits 23 home runs in his first year in MLB, surpassing Ohtani's record, but says "the most important thing is winning the game." His manager praises him as "a truly talented player."
Kazuma Okamoto hits a league-leading 23rd home run in his rookie year; Tomoyuki Sugano earns his 10th win; Roki Sasaki earns his 4th win.
Kazuma Okamoto hits a league-leading 23rd home run in his rookie year; Tomoyuki Sugano earns his 10th win, and Roki Sasaki also gets his 4th win.
Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto hits his 23rd home run, the most by a Japanese player in his rookie year in Major League Baseball.
Kazuma Okamoto hits a league-leading 23rd home run in his rookie year; Tomoyuki Sugano earns his 10th win, and Roki Sasaki also earns his 4th win.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 23rd home run! He surpasses Shohei Ohtani to set a new record for most home runs by a Japanese rookie player, sending the opposing team into a frenzy as the ball hits the center field scoreboard.
Kazuma Okamoto breaks Shohei Ohtani's record with 23 home runs in a season, the most by a rookie Japanese player.
Munetaka Murakami makes his MLB All-Star debut, drawing cheers from the crowd.
Kazuma Okamoto hits his 21st home run, a grand slam, putting him just one home run away from becoming the Japanese player with the most home runs in his rookie year.
Tatsuya Imai to return to the majors on the 13th, starting against the Mariners.
Munetaka Murakami hits a go-ahead solo home run, his 15th of the season; Kazuma Okamoto delivers a timely hit.
Tatsuya Imai to make a rehabilitation start in Double-A on the 29th after being placed on the injured list due to right arm fatigue.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.