Alaska Governor Election WinnerJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Open$146Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 77% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES77¢
NO23¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
New - Governor poll - Alaska Left-Tomkins 40% Wilson 20% Bronson 14% Taylor 7% After RCV: Kreiss-Tomkins +10 2024 Trump +13.1 Fabrizio/Impact #A - LV - 9/11
Where does the news lean?
3YES0NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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See all outcomes for Alaska Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.