Alaska Governor Election Winner

OpenOutcomes40as of

Market pricing makes Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins the favorite at 48% across 40 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

15 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Republican Bernadette Wilson advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Tom Begichms.now94%match50¢-98%
Live: Democrat Tom Begich advances to Alaska gubernatorial general election
Tom BegichAPws94%match50¢-98%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Tom Begich advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Lisa MurkowskiPolymarket98%match95¢+5%
[Replying to @disclosetv] @disclosetv 23% chance the SAVE act is signed into law. > NEW - Lisa Murkowski becomes the first Republican senator to reject passing the SAVE Act, which would require proof of citizenship to vote nationwide — NBC
Mary PeltolaPOLITICO99%match97¢+3%
NEW: Former Rep. Mary Peltola raked in $1.5 million in the first 24 hours of her Alaska Senate bid. Details on the donations, first in @politico
Mary PeltolaBloomberg99%match97¢+3%
Former Alaska Representative Mary Peltola launched a campaign Monday to challenge Republican Dan Sullivan for one of Alaska’s Senate seats, putting the race in play for Democrats in November’s midterms
Mary PeltolaAxios99%match97¢+3%
Mary Peltola plunges into Alaska Senate race Via @HansNichols
Mary PeltolaThe New York Times99%match97¢+3%
Breaking News: Mary Peltola announced that she would run for Senate in Alaska, lifting Democrats’ hopes as they face a tough midterm map.
Mary PeltolaAxios99%match97¢+3%
Mary Peltola plunges into Alaska Senate race
Mary PeltolaThe Wall Street Journal99%match97¢+3%
Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola said she would challenge incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska, a move that could put the red-leaning state in play as Democrats make a long-shot bid to retake control of the Senate
Mary PeltolaPOLITICO99%match97¢+3%
Former Rep. Mary Peltola jumps into Alaska Senate race
Mary PeltolaFirst Squawk99%match97¢+3%
DEMOCRATIC MARY PELTOLA ANNOUNCES SENATE RUN IN ALASKA: CNN
Mary PeltolaAxios99%match88¢+14%
Scoop: Mary Peltola prepares for Alaska Senate race

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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