AZ-05 Republican Primary WinnerJay Feely
ResolvedOutcome: No$46Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
It was a huge night for Trump-endorsed candidates in Arizona. @andybiggs4az CRUSHED his opponents - earning more than 70 percent of the vote in the GOP primary for governor. Congressional candidate Jay Feely won the GOP nod in the 1st district. Mark Lamb won in the 5th district. The Trump endorsement remains the Gold Standard in politics.
YESReuters97%match0¢
Trump-Backed Jay Feely Wins GOP Primary in Arizona’s 1st District- Politico
Live: Jay Feely wins the Republican primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District, NBC News projects
Where does the news lean?
2YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.