Florida Governor Republican Primary Second PlaceJay Collins
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$81Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Florida’s Lt. Gov. Jay Collins loses bid to be Republican’s nominee for governor
Live: While Byron Donalds has a large lead statewide in the Republican primary for governor in Florida, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins is currently leading in several rural, historically Republican counties in the northern part of the state which tend to have significantly lower percentages of residents with a college degree than the state as a whole.
So - the @JayCollinsFL campaign for governor out with new polling: • • Byron Donalds: 46% • Jay Collins: 30% • James Fishback: 9.8% • Paul Renner: 5.9% • • “Notably, undecided voters break for Collins more than any other candidate, with Collins taking 40% of that pool,” said campaign manager @TedVeerman. • • Camp says the poll of 988 likely Florida Republican primary voters was conducted July 28-29 via a text-to-web interface by David Jay Wolfson.
Where does the news lean?
3YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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See all outcomes for Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.