Jasmine Crockett Texas Senate Race ResultWin Senate Race
ResolvedOutcome: No$40Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOLeading Report98%match93¢+8%
BREAKING: Rep. Jasmine Crockett says she is successful because she is black.
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a polymarket about Jasmine Crockett’s results in the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and the 2026 Texas Senate General Election (including any potential second rounds or runoffs).
If Crockett wins the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and the 2026 Texas Senate General Election, this market will resolve to “Win Senate Race”.
If Crockett wins the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election, but loses the 2026 Texas Senate General Election, this market will resolve to “Win Dem Primary, Lose Senate Race”.
If Crockett loses the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election, this market will resolve to “Lose Dem Primary”. Crockett losing the Democratic Primary will resolve this market regardless of whether she enters the 2026 Texas Senate General Election as an independent.
If Crockett does not contest a lost election, it will be considered to be a loss.
The results of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary will be determined based on the official announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The results of the 2026 Texas Senate General Election will be determined based on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. A candidate will have won once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, the winning candidate will be determined based on the official certification of election results.
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