Jasmine Crockett Texas Senate Race Result
Resolved3as of
This hub tracks 3 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
BREAKING: Rep. Jasmine Crockett says she is successful because she is black.
BREAKING: Rep. Jasmine Crockett says she is successful because she is black.
What is this event about?
This is a polymarket about Jasmine Crockett’s results in the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and the 2026 Texas Senate General Election (including any potential second rounds or runoffs).
If Crockett wins the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and the 2026 Texas Senate General Election, this market will resolve to “Win Senate Race”.
If Crockett wins the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election, but loses the 2026 Texas Senate General Election, this market will resolve to “Win Dem Primary, Lose Senate Race”.
If Crockett loses the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election, this market will resolve to “Lose Dem Primary”. Crockett losing the Democratic Primary will resolve this market regardless of whether she enters the 2026 Texas Senate General Election as an independent.
If Crockett does not contest a lost election, it will be considered to be a loss.
The results of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary will be determined based on the official announcement of the results from the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The results of the 2026 Texas Senate General Election will be determined based on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. A candidate will have won once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, the winning candidate will be determined based on the official certification of election results.