HI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerJarrett Keohokalole
ResolvedOutcome: No$34Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Fundraising in the #HI01 Democratic primary from Jul. 1 to Jul. 19, per FEC filings: • • Ed Case (inc.) • Raised - $55,000 • Spent - $229,000 • Cash-on-hand - $600,000 • • Jarrett Keohokalole • Raised - $126,000 • Spent - $223,000 • Cash-on-hand - $81,000 • • Primary is Aug. 8
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for HI-01 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.