Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 20262.5-2.9%

OpenVol$9KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES1¢
NO99¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESReuters97%match3¢-67%
BoJ: Board’s Core-Core CPI Fiscal 2026 Median Forecast at +2.5% vs +2.6% in April
YESReuters94%match6¢-83%
BoJ: Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.7% in June After 2.7% Rise in May

Where does the news lean?

5YES3NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event

Trending now